Analysis and perspectives on AI, biology, healthcare, and venture investing.

While the early signals of progress for traditional tech companies are fairly well known — product, customers, revenue — biotech companies operate under a very different timeline, metrics, and milestone system. Here are 16 pitfalls founders make when building computational therapeutics companies.

My biggest takeaway from Jefferies in London this year is simple: The biotech industry is crowding into consensus plays at the exact moment the real returns will come from non-consensus science.
35.5K views · 713 engagements

ARCH Venture Partners stands to make more than $2B from Pfizer's $10B acquisition of Metsera. It's a reminder that the biggest outcomes in biotech aren't always driven by brand-new science.
109.2K views · 656 engagements

Everyone said AI would eat biology. The more I look at what's actually happening in the lab, the more I think biology is eating AI.
24.5K views · 452 engagements

I'm about to have a lot of free time at 3am. So I started learning to vibe code.
38.2K views · 283 engagements

Consensus feels safe. History suggests it's usually backward. The strongest biotech vintage of the last 20 years was built in the years when almost no one wanted to invest.
36.8K views · 236 engagements

I used to think networking was a waste of time, until I realized I was treating people like opportunities instead of relationships.
15.9K views · 275 engagements

The months I actually lost fat were not the months I ate the least. They were the months I cut moderately and stayed active. 15 years of health data, analyzed.
27.2K views · 240 engagements

Start with the ingredients. End with the value capture. China is disrupting biotech asset creation.
24.7K views · 224 engagements

In today's biotech market, it's increasingly common to see multiple companies and investors converge on the same targets and indications. Once a mechanism proves itself clinically, the battleground shifts to execution.
29.8K views · 204 engagements

I heard "name your price" more times at JPM last week than in my entire career. Something has shifted in how capital is chasing assets.
15.9K views · 176 engagements

3am. Baby sleeping.
22.8K views · 153 engagements
Over the last 10 years, the bar for fundraising in tech and biotech seems to have flipped. What used to get you a meeting now barely gets you a reply.
13.0K views · 152 engagements

Biotech is great at science. It is terrible at explaining it. The gap between what we know and what we can communicate is one of the most underrated problems in the industry.
10.3K views · 129 engagements

China-origin assets now account for more than 25% of global pharma licensing deals, and LPs are starting to ask every biotech venture fund what they plan to do about it.
4.1K views · 94 engagements
Big pharma has had teams and infrastructure in China for decades. The question isn't whether to engage : it's how the terms of engagement are changing.
10.1K views · 73 engagements

Everyone is watching the ceasefire. Almost nobody is talking about what five weeks of war just did to venture capital funding.
5.0K views · 70 engagements

The biotech industry increasingly prioritizes consensus-driven safety at precisely the moment when significant future returns are emerging in unconventional spaces. History suggests the most substantial returns often emerge from ideas initially appearing as speculative ventures.

The pharmaceutical industry invests over $200 billion annually in R&D. Generative AI demonstrates immediate practical applications : but technological capability alone proves insufficient. The companies that will win are not the ones with the best models.

Healthcare costs have risen dramatically, driven by a reimbursement system that rewards volume and asset intensity over value. As the current model becomes increasingly unsustainable, the question is not whether disruption will come : it is where it will originate and what form it will take.